Nation’s vibration – Japan in 2019 and beyond – Part 5: Who is going to pick up the tab?

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Feb 11, 2019 17:44
Continued from Part 4.
Those who promoted hosting the Tokyo Olympics initially said, “That will be the one of the least costly Olympics. We will utilize the existing facilities as much as possible,” “That will be the “reconstruction Olympics” to show the world that Japan has recovered from the Great East Japan Earthquake in 2011”, “the Olympics will boost the Japan’ economy”, etc, etc.

However, the initial total cost estimate for the Tokyo Olympics, around 800 billion yen (approximately US$ 7.27billion when calculated 110 yen to the dollar) is reported to be increased whopping nearly 3 trillion yen: 3,000,000,000,000 yen. Twelve zeros (approximately US$27 billion). There are several reasons for this ridiculous gap, but among others, they are: 1) those who promoted the Olympics made an optimistic estimate (perhaps on purpose in order to obtain support from the public); 2) the initial plan to use have gone nowhere and new facilizes are being constructed one after another; 3) there was no one who takes an ultimate responsibility for the cost, etc.

I’m worried, more like scare, of this astronomical cost because a good proportion of it will end up being burdened by the Japanese tax payers, including me! Besides the cost issue, a series of scandals related to the Tokyo Olympias have grabbed the headlines from the get-go: the original design of the main stadium was abandoned due to its huge cost; the original Olympic logo was scrapped because of an allegation the Japanese designer having stolen his design from that of a theater in Belgium; and the president of the Japanese Olympic Committee (JOC) has been indicted on charges of corruption by the French authorities liked to winning the 2020 Olympics bid.

On the other hand, some say the Olympics will boost economic growth in Japan. In fact, those who support the Tokyo Olympics chose this for a reason for their support. I will present an estimate released by Tokyo Metropolitan Government in March 2017. It says “The 2020 Tokyo Olympics will create economic benefits totaling 32.3 trillion yen ($283.50 billion) across Japan, as well as some 1.94 million jobs.”

I don’t know which one is right, but as far as my research goes on the Internet, there are overwhelmingly more opinions by those who are against the event, ordinally people and experts alike.

To be continued in Part 6: http://lang-8.com/997612/journals/167499755833897699550612467725552192077
Back to Part 4: https://lang-8.com/997612/journals/208340712441242385147925039934102696940

References:
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/11/world/europe/japan-olympics-corruption-tsunekazu-takeda.html
https://asia.nikkei.com/Economy/Two-years-before-the-Olympics-Tokyo-raises-its-game
https://asia.nikkei.com/Economy/Japan-expects-283bn-boost-from-2020-Tokyo-Olympics
https://www.nikkei.com/article/DGXLZO13742810X00C17A3EA1000/
https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/nhknewsline/backstories/tokyo2020legacy/

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Revised (February 17, 2019) Further corrections are welcomed.

Those who promoted hosting the Tokyo Olympics initially said, “That will be the one of the least costly Olympics. We will utilize the existing facilities as much as possible,” “That will be the “reconstruction Olympics” to show the world that Japan has recovered from the Great East Japan Earthquake in 2011”, “the Olympics will boost the Japan’ economy”, etc, etc.

However, the initial total cost estimate for the Tokyo Olympics, around 800 billion yen (approximately US$ 7.27billion when calculated 110 yen to the dollar) is reported to have increased to a whopping nearly 3 trillion yen: 3,000,000,000,000 yen. Twelve zeros (approximately US$27 billion). There are several reasons for this ridiculous gap, but among others, they are: 1) those who promoted the Olympics made an optimistic estimate (perhaps on purpose in order to obtain support from the public); 2) the initial plan to use the existing facilities seems to have gone nowhere and new facilizes are being constructed one after another; 3) there was no one who took ultimate responsibility for the cost, etc.

I’m worried, more like scare, of this astronomical cost because a good proportion of it will end up being burdened by the Japanese tax payers, including me! Besides the cost issue, a series of scandals related to the Tokyo Olympias have grabbed the headlines from the get-go; the original design of the main stadium was abandoned due to its huge cost, the original Olympic logo was scrapped because of an allegation the Japanese designer having stolen his design from that of a theater in Belgium, and the president of the Japanese Olympic Committee (JOC) has been indicted on charges of corruption by the French authorities liked to winning the 2020 Olympics bid.

On the other hand, some say the Olympics will boost economic growth in Japan. In fact, those who support the Tokyo Olympics chose this for a reason for their support. I will present an estimate released by Tokyo Metropolitan Government in March 2017. It says, “The 2020 Tokyo Olympics will create economic benefits totaling 32.3 trillion yen ($283.50 billion) across Japan, as well as some 1.94 million jobs.”

I don’t know who is correct, but as far as my research goes on the internet, there are overwhelmingly more opinions against the event from the public and experts alike.
2019年の日本そしてその先 - パート5 巨額の開催費用を誰が負担するのか?

パート4から続き

東京オリンピックの推進派は当初、「最も費用の少ないオリンピックになる」、「既存の施設をできるだけ活用する」、「2011年の東日本大震災から復興した日本を世界に見せるための復興五輪となる」、などと主張し、誘致を促進していました。

しかし、開催費用の見積りは、当初の約8000億円(1ドル110円で換算して約72.7億米ドル)から、3兆円近くに上るというとんでもない額に上昇しました。3兆円とは、「3,000,000,000,000円」、ゼロが12個つきます。(およそ270億米ドル。)なぜこのようにあり得ないほど見積もりが狂ったかについては、いくつか理由があります。1)オリンピック招致を促進した人たちが甘い見積もりをした(おそらく人々の支持を得るために)、2)当初の既存の施設を活用するという計画はどこかに消え失せ、次から次に施設を建造している、3)費用に関して最終的な責任者が不在、などがあげられるでしょう。

この天文学的費用には、心配を通り越して、恐ろしさを感じます。なぜなら最終的にこの費用の大部分は、私を含めた日本の納税者の負担となるからです。費用の問題の他に、このオリンピックは当初からスキャンダルのオンパレードでした。オリンピックのメインスタジアムとなる新国立競技場の当初の設計案は、その費用の大きさからお箱入りとなり、加えてオリンピックのロゴデザインはベルギーの劇場のデザインを盗用したものだとされ白紙撤回、両方とも新たに募集と選考が行われました。さらに最近では、日本オリンピック委員会(JOC)の会長がオリンピック誘致をめぐっての贈収賄疑惑で、フランス当局の捜査を受けています。

一方、オリンピックは日本の経済成長を押し上げると主張する人たちもいます。実際、東京オリンピックに賛成する人たちは、支持する一番の理由に経済的効果を挙げています。2017年3月に東京都が発表した試算によると、「2020年東京五輪・パラリンピックが全国に及ぼす経済効果は、大会招致が決まった13年から大会10年後の30年までの18年間で約32兆3千億円。全国の雇用は約194万人増加する」とのことです。

どの予想が正しいのかはわかりませんが、私がインターネットでリサーチした限りでは、この東京オリンピックに反対する声(一般人、専門家の両方から)の方が、圧倒的に多かったです。

パート6に続く。